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Beyond Internet Gaga

on Tue, 10/25/2016 - 12:53

For a time in the mid-1990’s I was an analyst at Forrester Research, in its Network Strategy Service. Last week's Distributed Denial of Service attack waged against Dyn recalls a report I wrote that I still consider groundbreaking.

I asked George Colony, CEO/Founder of Forrester, if I could reproduce it here because I believe the technique I used — called scenario building — is a credible way for businesses from startup to global to generate useful insights about risk, and opportunity.

I wrote this in early 1995. It is easy to forget how rudimentary your technology life was then compared to

catalyst: out

on Sat, 10/22/2016 - 14:28

Recorded live at Dogglounge on 2016 Oct 21.

It was Friday night, and I felt like some full-on music, like you’d hear when you’re out at a nightclub. No jazzy deep house. No cutesy pop EDM. But full-throated, whompy bass that you feel in your body when you have a big sound system playing.

So I jumped in after Unknown Tone‘s normal set to play a short, unscheduled night. Out.

Tracklist at Dogglounge or Mixcloud.

catalyst: winner

on Mon, 10/17/2016 - 17:43

Recorded live at Dogglounge on Sunday, 2016 Oct 16.

Let me forewarn you that I decided to go increasingly harder, trending all the way to Tech House, after the first (relatively chill) 45 minutes of the set. Hang on for the ride! (Thanks to all the loungers in chat that hung on for the ride!) Tracklist at Dogglounge or MIxcloud.

Footnote: I got a twofer today. My local (american) football team (New England Patriots) won their game on this day. So did my favorite professional cyclist (Peter Sagan). So, when I needed a name for my set, winner just seems apropos.

catalyst: 25

on Sat, 10/15/2016 - 12:53

Recorded live on 2016 Oct 10 at

This was my 25th set at Dogglounge – at least counting from when I started playing a named, committed-time set on Sundays (and not counting the “guest” sets I did before I was invited to start playing regularly).

Thanks to Odogg for such a great station, and thanks to all the loungers who listen – and contribute to keep the station online.

Tracklist available either at Dogglounge or Mixcloud linked above.

Factors driving self-driving car adoption

on Tue, 10/11/2016 - 12:57

I have an informal wager running with a handful of people on the following question:

What year will cars that are autonomous-capable constitute over 50% of the cars sold in that model year?

I began this wager in 2015, and I said "within 7 years". Giving myself credit for the fact that 2016 model year cars start being sold in late 2015, I'm going to clarify my prediction to say that the 2023 model year is my target prediction.

I acknowledge this is optimistic. Here's a list of the beliefs that drive my prediction (which I may update from time to time on this blog post):

  1. Technology will